Insurers tot up a £5.5 billion bill as Gustav blow itself out - Business - Evening Standard
       

Insurers tot up a £5.5 billion bill as Gustav blow itself out

The oil price plummeted tonight and US shares shot up after Hurricane Gustav passed with no reports of major damage to refineries and platforms.

As it became clearer that the region had been spared the destruction caused by Katrina and Rita in 2005, the price of a barrel of crude plunged nearly $9 to below $107. That took it to its lowest point since April and marked one of the biggest one-day slides on record.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 223.3 points to 11,766.9. When Wall Street closed last Friday, Hurricane Gustav had looked set to be a potential catastrophe.

"The fall in the oil price trickles down to the consumer and lowers expectations of inflation," said Scott Richter at Fifth Third Asset Management. "That's good for the market."

Oil experts predict more falls towards $100 —- a move that would ease some of the pressure on the global economy.

Lloyd's of London and other global insurance markets face a bill from Gustav of up to $10 billion (£5.5 billion), against $41.1 billion from Katrina. Risk Management Solutions of California, sees losses on land at $3-$7 billion with damage to the offshore oil industry at $1 billion and $3 billion.

"Gustav has now become a tropical depression and slowing to a crawl across northeast Texas," Dr Peter Dailey, director of atmospheric science at AIR Worldwide said. His firm had been predicting losses of up to $15 billion.

Not only was the storm weaker than Katrina, but oil platforms and systems have been strengthened since 2005. But it will take time to get workers back to their rigs to assess the damage.

About 1.3 million barrels a day of oil and 7.06 billion cubic feet of gas was shut down, all of the area's offshore oil output and 95% of gas production.

Risk modelling firm Eqecat says oil and natural gas offshore in the Gulf will see a reduction of about 5% capacity for the next year.

Meteorologists and insurers are now turning their attention to Hurricane Hanna, which is forecast to hit the US Southeast coast on Friday. Behind it is the potentially stronger tropical storm Ike, which is forecast to become a hurricane in the next two days.

Comments

Don't Miss
Rock star: Erin Wasson

Rock star

Erin Wasson is the ultimate anti-supermodel
Maybe it’s because she’s a Londoner … Happy anniversary, Ma’am

Happy anniversary

The monarchy has become stronger and more respected in the past 60 years
Victoria Coren: My obsession with children, five proposals a week and why David and I are no power couple

Victoria Coren

David Mitchell and I are no power couple
The Royal Academy of Arts Summer Exhibition preview party

Summer party

Stars at the The Royal Academy of Arts
London gets ready for the Diamond Jubilee - in pictures

Diamond Jubilee

London gets ready - in pictures
The Glamour Awards - stars turn on the style

Glamour Awards

Stars turn on the style
Duchess of Cambridge is pretty in pink at her first Buckingham Palace garden party

Garden party

Duchess of Cambridge is pretty in pink
FIRST review of Ridley Scott's latest sci-fi blockbuster Prometheus

First review

Is Ridley Scott's Prometheus any good?
Fair-weather goths

Fair-weather goths

The sultry shades of summer darks are coming out of the shadows
Dog save the Queen: Corgis surge in popularity

Dog save the Queen

Corgis surge in popularity