- My Account
- Logout
- Register
- Login
Greece is moving the right way but could take time
Related Articles
21 February 2012
Ever since the last disappointment, the trick hasn't been to agree a new bailout plan for Greece, it has been to agree to one which can be made to stick.
October's accord was so light on detail, it was being unpicked by the doubting markets before the ink was dry. The deal that was thrashed out in the small hours of this morning is certainly meatier, and markets had already risen in anticipation of its coming.
Tackling Greece's debt burden could only ever happen once the country swallowed its pride.
Paying bailout money directly to its creditors, instead of trusting it to spendthrift ministers, requires a hefty slice of humble pie. Welcoming a permanent taskforce to Athens to make sure it really is tightening its belt means another large mouthful. Their role will be crucial, as long as they can make it through the rioting crowds to their desks to begin work.
Some pessimists believe Greece is not worth saving. And it's true that its debt reduction programme is well off the target set by the International Monetary Fund.
Even if its economy stops shrinking next year - a heroic assumption after some recent precipitous drops - it will require another 50 billion (£41.8 billion) injection by 2020 on top of today's 130 billlion. Does that constitute throwing even more good money after bad?
In addition, the recovery being plotted will be something of an experiment to see if economic growth can be stimulated at the same time as slashing a bloated public sector. The country could yet end up on the outside of the eurozone looking in.
For all that, there are plenty of positives to take from this deal. A dysfunctional eurozone has finally been pressed into action. Appealing to China and other emerging sovereign wealth hasn't worked. Eurozone nations have been forced to dig deeper to put their own house in order. Even the IMF, where Britain is a member, isn't contributing as much as once expected.
That said, senior bankers still have a sense of unease. The European Central Bank is pumping billions into Europe's banking system, contributing to an early springtime stock market rally, but fears remain that another bank will get into trouble soon.
This latest Greek bailout has been two years in the making. We may have to wait another two to see whether it has the desired effect.
Comments
Top stories in Business
Top stories in Business
-
No end to Tube nightmare as commuters warned of MORE chaos tonight
-
Double dip recession is worse than feared as UK faces ‘hurricane’
-
They attacked "like a pack" raining fists on a defenceless legal secretary. Yesterday they walked free from court. No wonder their victim says she has been denied justice.
-
Mayor demands report from Transport for London into Jubilee Line nightmare that left hundreds of commuters trapped for hours underground
-
Friends of football fan killed after Champions League final tell of 'horror' scene of his death
The O2
Check out the cool stuff happening under our tent such as the hottest gigs, comedy, sport, films, clubs, bars, restaurants and much more.
Can you imagine a career in teaching?
Be inspired to teach - let real teachers show you how rewarding the job can be.
Playing a game-changing role during the Games
Cisco is providing the solutions for London 2012's complex IT needs.
Win a Silverstone track day with Zantac 75
Feel the burn of a different kind - 20 Silverstone motoring experiences to be won
Reader Offers email A fantastic selection of
offers, giveaways and
promotions.
Cannes Film Festival - in pictures
Biggest ever image of the Queen, and she also appears made out of stamps, cheese and BEER
Man v Woman v Food: the big burger challenge
New kids from the Bloc: new wave of Russians settling in London
London drug dealer pictured himself with bags of cannabis and wearing crown of £20 notes
BarChick: Janet's Bar