- My Account
- Logout
- Register
- Login
Today's bailout - what the analysts say
Related Articles
19 January 2009
"The obvious question is: will all this money turn things around? We think there is a high risk that it will not. The loan guarantee-insurance programmes could cost taxpayers far more than anticipated; banks could be dragged through a creeping nationalisation that severely dilutes existing shareholders. None of it will achieve the desired result, which we assume is to lay a firm foundation for economic recovery. The loan guarantee programme would work if the economy quickly turned out to be better than expected, but things seem to be going in the opposite direction. Defaults will rise faster than expected, and losses will be bigger than expected."
Magnus Mathewson, equities analyst, Hichens, Harrison:
"I don't think this will work. It's throwing money at something rather than dealing with the actual problem, which is liquidity. There should be an explicit state guarantee on deposits. I think there will be a reluctance with investors to put money in UK banks for years to come, which is massively destructive to the sector."
Robert Law, equities analyst, Lehman Brothers:
"We would regard it as positive at the margin, but it does not change the key issue of the unknown and potentially unlimited losses of the banking system, and therefore whether it will ultimately require further capital injections. We therefore remain negative on the British banks and prefer those in the Far East and Switzerland. RBS's statement shows the effects of the downturn on credit quality which has negative implications for other names, especially Lloyds, in our view."
Marc Ostwald, analyst, Monument Securities:
"This makes the Bank of England the UK's 'bad bank', even if there are some limits to the risk that is being transferred."
Comments
Top stories in Business
Top stories in Business
-
London gets ready for the Diamond Jubilee - in pictures
-
EXCLUSIVE: I won't play with Joey Barton, says Adel Taarabt
-
Diamond Jubilee: Boat by boat, here is where to watch the Queen's Thames flotilla - VIDEO
-
Duchess of Cambridge is pretty in pink at her first Buckingham Palace garden party
-
News pictures of the day
-
Locked up and banned: The Tube drunk whose vile racist rant was caught on film (video)
-
London 2012 Olympics: Raising the bar and the Games haven't even started yet. Price of toasting Team GB is £6 a pint! -
Timebomb ticking in Thames Estuary could put Boris Island plans in jeopardy -
Duchess of Cambridge is pretty in pink at her first Buckingham Palace garden party
-
‘We will form a human barricade to keep missiles off our homes’
The O2
Check out the cool stuff happening under our tent such as the hottest gigs, comedy, sport, films, clubs, bars, restaurants and much more.
A home to be proud of with Halifax
Download the Halifax's brilliant, free new Home Finder app, and take all the pain out of finding your dream home.
Can you imagine a career in teaching?
Be inspired to teach - let real teachers show you how rewarding the job can be.
Playing a game-changing role during the Games
Cisco is providing the solutions for London 2012's complex IT needs.
Win a Silverstone track day with Zantac 75
Feel the burn of a different kind - 20 Silverstone motoring experiences to be won
Celebrate with MARTINI®
This weekend toast one royal with another and make your Jubilee sparkle with a MARTINI Royale.
Reader Offers email A fantastic selection of
offers, giveaways and
promotions.
Why I think doctors are right to strike
Family pay tribute to the London man who gave his life to save a five-year-old girl from drowning
Eton schoolboys fly Games flag on Everest
Horror on the 5.53! Commuter dragged 200 feet after getting hand trapped on train
Shrimpy's - review