UK's triple-A rating threatened in warning over deficit cuts - Business - Evening Standard
       

UK's triple-A rating threatened in warning over deficit cuts

The UK may face the loss of its gold-plated triple-A credit rating unless it overcomes the "formidable" challenge to repair its public finances, ratings agency Fitch warned today.

Fitch said the huge size of the deficit projected for next year - forecast at £163 billion in Labour's April Budget - was "striking" in contrast with the increased belt-tightening efforts of other European nations.

The warning dented the pound against the dollar by 1%, falling to $1.437, and came after Prime Minister David Cameron said "painful" spending cuts would affect the lifestyles of everyone in Britain.

"The scale of the UK's fiscal challenge is formidable and warrants a strong medium-term consolidation strategy - including a faster pace of deficit reduction than set out in the April 2010 Budget," Fitch said.

It warned that the sovereign debt crisis engulfing Greece - as well as concerns over Spain and Portugal - outlined the need for more credible recovery plans and hinted at the loss of the UK's triple-A rating unless further action was taken.

Spain, Portugal and Italy have announced additional tightening measures amounting to between 1% and 2% of GDP by 2011 in response to increasing pressure from markets, leaving the UK potentially vulnerable.

"There is a risk that the UK's existing deficit-cutting targets begin to look distinctly weak compared with those of its high-grade peers," the ratings agency said.

The deficit will also remain much higher if the newly-formed Office for Budget Responsibility lowers growth forecasts for next year - which were set by the Treasury in April at an optimistic 3.25%.

A downgraded UK growth forecast will ripple through the public finances, impacting tax revenues and pushing up spending, Fitch said, and warned that the deficit could be 2% of GDP higher than current predictions by 2015 if growth is 1% lower than forecast next year.

A Treasury spokesman said: "Fitch's report makes the case clearly for an acceleration of deficit reduction, particularly in light of events in the euro-area sovereign debt market in recent months.

"The Government agrees and that is why it is committed to significantly accelerating the reduction of the structural deficit."

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