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UK's triple-A rating threatened in warning over deficit cuts
08 June 2010
Fitch said the huge size of the deficit projected for next year - forecast at £163 billion in Labour's April Budget - was "striking" in contrast with the increased belt-tightening efforts of other European nations.
The warning dented the pound against the dollar by 1%, falling to $1.437, and came after Prime Minister David Cameron said "painful" spending cuts would affect the lifestyles of everyone in Britain.
"The scale of the UK's fiscal challenge is formidable and warrants a strong medium-term consolidation strategy - including a faster pace of deficit reduction than set out in the April 2010 Budget," Fitch said.
It warned that the sovereign debt crisis engulfing Greece - as well as concerns over Spain and Portugal - outlined the need for more credible recovery plans and hinted at the loss of the UK's triple-A rating unless further action was taken.
Spain, Portugal and Italy have announced additional tightening measures amounting to between 1% and 2% of GDP by 2011 in response to increasing pressure from markets, leaving the UK potentially vulnerable.
"There is a risk that the UK's existing deficit-cutting targets begin to look distinctly weak compared with those of its high-grade peers," the ratings agency said.
The deficit will also remain much higher if the newly-formed Office for Budget Responsibility lowers growth forecasts for next year - which were set by the Treasury in April at an optimistic 3.25%.
A downgraded UK growth forecast will ripple through the public finances, impacting tax revenues and pushing up spending, Fitch said, and warned that the deficit could be 2% of GDP higher than current predictions by 2015 if growth is 1% lower than forecast next year.
A Treasury spokesman said: "Fitch's report makes the case clearly for an acceleration of deficit reduction, particularly in light of events in the euro-area sovereign debt market in recent months.
"The Government agrees and that is why it is committed to significantly accelerating the reduction of the structural deficit."
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