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House prices are falling at the fastest rate for 30 years - and there's worse to come, say agents

Last updated at 17:37pm on 15.04.08

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House prices are experiencing their most widespread decline since records began 30 years ago, a report from industry experts reveals today.

The study painted a picture of lower prices, few buyers and desperate sellers - with worse to come.

It comes as new figures show arrangement fees for mortgages have doubled in the last 12 months, adding to the woes for potential homeowners already struggling under the effects of the credit crunch.

Application fees on the five most competitive three-year fixes have risen 96 per cent to £1,132 pounds from £578 pounds a year ago, according to online mortgage company mform.co.uk.

Typical arrangement fees on best-buy two-year fixes have increased 48 percent to £1,478 pounds from 999 pounds over the same period.

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Pessimistic: Estate agents do not expect house prices to stop falling in the next quarter, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors says. They claim worse is to come

A study by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors painted a picture of lower prices, few buyers and desperate sellers and predicted there was worse still to come.

Estate agents and surveyors polled by the group for its monthly report were so pessimistic that it is the bleakest since they first started up in 1978.

Government figures released today showing house prices fell by 1.6 per cent in February added to the gloom.

They revealed annual house price growth is still plummeting, down to 6.7 per cent for the year to the end of Febuary, down from eight per cent in January.

RICS say house prices are falling in every region of England and Wales, with the majority falling at their fastest pace since the record started.

The North, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East Anglia, the South East, the South West and Wales are all on the black list.

But the East Midlands is experiencing the worst problems. Prices have been falling for the last 15 months.

The speed of the decline is picking up, with prices falling at the 'fastest pace in the survey's history' last month.

The survey found that 78.5 per cent more surveyors reported a fall than a rise in house prices - the highest proportion since records began.

The figure eclipses the last property crash of the early 1990s.

To make matters worse, agents expect prices to keep on falling in the next quarter, according to the influential report.

Today's study exposes problems in every area of the market.

The number of homes sold between January and March was 22.4 per estate agent - close to the all-time low of 18.3, in 1992.

Increasing numbers of homes are put up for sale, but few buyers are coming forward.

Over the last year, the number of unsold properties in estate agents' windows has climbed 50 per cent. Meanwhile, inquiries from buyers have fallen for 16 consecutive months.

The surveyors and estate agents who took part in the survey were extraordinarily pessimistic.

One predicted prices will fall 30 per cent over the next three years. Another warned the situation is going to worsen, as the mortgage meltdown has only just started to take effect.

'With the effects of tighter lending criteria still to be felt, we may not have reached the bottom.'

Another declared: 'It is tough, very tough. Buyers are looking for rock bottom bargains. The market is yet to get worse before it gets better.'

And one said: 'If we compare sales figures this March to 2007, 2006, 2005 etc then we can only describe the market as dire.'

The Department of Communities and Local Government's figures showed February's fall in prices had been driven by a 2.9 per cent drop in the cost of flats.

Meanwhile, detached and semi-detached homes lost 1.5 per cent of their value, the cost of terraced properties fell by 1.1 per cent and the price of bungalows was 0.6 per cent lower.

The average cost of a home in the UK stood at £217,737 at the end of February, its lowest level since June last year and down from £221,278 in January, which has itself been revised down.

The annual rate of house price growth fell in 10 of the UK's 12 economic regions, with only the North West and West Midlands seeing a rise.

There are also no areas where growth remains in double digits, with Scotland seeing the strongest gains of 9.7 per cent during the past year, followed by London at 9.5 per cent.

The Council of Morgage Lenders (CML) will next week press ministers to improve state support for struggling mortgage holders amid fears repossessions are set to escalate rapidly.

Monday's meeting with work and pensions minister Stephen Timms, will come ahead of talks between the CML and Chancellor Alistair Darling on the credit crunch.

The CML believes state support for mortgage holders who run into difficulties is insufficient and is suggesting the Government remove a £100,000 ceiling mortgage qualifying for help.

It is predicting 45,000 repossessions in 2008.

"We've obviously highlighted the safety net for borrowers in difficulties is not good enough," CML director general Michael Coogan said today.

"A very simple approach the Government could take is to reverse the policies of the previous administration in 1995 and that would provide support for customers in the short-term."

On the meeting with the Chancellor, Mr Coogan said the Government and mortgage lenders "have to work together".

He also stressed that UK assets were "by and large very good".

"We do not have the same market as the US and the key challenge for the Chancellor and ourselves is to continue to reinforce the differences between the two markets," he said.

Last week Halifax, the biggest mortgage lender, said prices slumped 2.5 per cent in March, the largest drop in a month since the property crash of 1992.

Yesterday Jeremy Leaf, of the RICS, insisted that 'a significant crash' remains unlikely, unless the number of homes coming on to the market rises 'dramatically'.

But Shadow Chancellor George Osborne said homeowners should prepare themselves for a 'bust'. 'We are in the bust bit after the boom bit, if you take the figures from the Halifax,' he said.


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Reader views (15)

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This is good news for first-time buyers and people trading up, and should be fairly neutral for anyone intending to sell one house and re-invest in a similar one somewhere else. Who loses? Speculators, heirs, and the government (less CGT, IHT and stamp duty coming in!)

- Nigel, London, 15/04/2008 15:36
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Anything that targets estate agents has got to be good! A weapon that destroys estate agents and doesn't harm innocent bystanders!

- Martin H. Watson, Teddington, 15/04/2008 15:02
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If a number of estate agents close then so be it. We live in a market economy and I am getting very tired of banks, mortgage companies and estate agents bleating about how difficult things are for them. Tough luck.

- Bethany Griffiths, London, 15/04/2008 15:02
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It's a given, we don't trust politicians - it's practically a national sport - but people are fast starting to distrust the main media sources. Yes a few people that bought bad houses in bad areas for over inflated prices have had their fingers burnt, like they have done for years.

It make you wonder if it's a few Journos are being manipulated by some key property investors and bankers.

- Andy T, Richmond, London, 15/04/2008 14:58
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And anyway, we may all be smashed to smithereens by the LHC when it runs later this year at Cern!

- Mikey, London, 15/04/2008 14:56
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Barney is living in La La land... House prices are falling down rapidly and the credit crunch is far from being a farce. Just go and try to remortgage your house.

- John, London, UK, 15/04/2008 14:24
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Your "equity"... Going... Going... Gone!

Your "nestegg of equity" . . . Now you see it . . . Now you don't!

Thanks to New Labour "not being pro-active" and taking the necessary "corrective action" early enough, many will not only have lost out on the value of their pensions, savings and equity in their homes but may also become insolvent or bankrupt!

Wait for it... Rumours from Westminster suggest that there are whispers of yet another "new tax" on workers to sustain the funding of Cabinet Minister's "guaranteed pensions"!

Thanks to "eleven consecutive years of New Labour" Britain now has £trillions of consumer debt and the situation just keeps getting worse!

- Fraser, Telford Park, 15/04/2008 14:21
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No its time for the "poor man" to have a crack at the property market etc. Cost of living has rocketed but salaries haven't. I hope it continues!

- Julie, Essex, 15/04/2008 13:37
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3 billion people in the world do not have access to clean water today, or tomorrow, or the next day. And today 40 000 children will die of a treatable disease.
You may have to keep the car a year longer, and perhaps only have three holidays this year.
Perspective please!

- Bobby Smith, London, 15/04/2008 13:00
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Why oh why is the Press making everything worse? Doom and Gloom everywhere - it's a farce. House rices have never been higher, people have never been so well off! Gadgets, Houses, Cars choice is unbelievable these days. The powers that be and the press still want to instil fear in the public, it was through terrorism and now it's "The Credit Crunch" = all a farce!

- Barney Hindle, Midhurst, 15/04/2008 12:45
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Hooray! A tiny flat will no longer cost £500,000! Prices have been pushed too high by hot speculative money from Russia, the US and Israel.

- Neil, London UK, 15/04/2008 10:15
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All this reminds me of the Noel Cowerd song:

'There are good times just around the corner'

In a few years people will be boasting again about how much they bought their house for, and what the current value is.

- Jon, London, 15/04/2008 09:49
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Has this newspaper engaged somebody in the post of "head of credit crunch"?

The paper is now running a new story every day on the house price crash. You're in danger of creating news, not reporting it.

- Roger, Guildford, 15/04/2008 09:39
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We are really in danger of talking the house market down, are things really this bad? Is there high unemployment and low wages across the economy? or is this just about a little preasure in the housemarket?

- Brian, Wiltshire, 15/04/2008 09:27
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Quote "Retailers have issued a record 18 profit warnings in the first three months of this year, equalling the figure for the same period last year."

How is it a record if it equals the same number for the same period last year?

- Jeremy, Hampshire, UK, 15/04/2008 09:07
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