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Credit crisis halves the housing market as mortgage approval slump 46%

Last updated at 00:37am on 25.04.08

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Testing times: Estate agents are selling an average of seven homes a month, compared to the previous 14

The housing market has halved in a year, according to a series of reports.

It emerged yesterday that house sales through estate agents are down 50 per cent and the number of Britons taking out a mortgage has collapsed by 46 per cent.

The National Association of Estate Agents said its firms sold an average of seven homes in March, compared to 14 last year.

One firm, from Essex, said: "Agents in the county are using comments such as 'dire', 'apathy' and 'miserable'.

"There are now clear signs of redundancies and offices closing together with a strong feeling that this market is similar to 1989 (the last crash)."

At the same time, just 35,417 Britons got a loan to buy a house, the lowest monthly level since records began.

At the height of the boom in 2002, more than 3,000 loans were handed out every day - today it has plunged to 1,100.

Analysts at Capital Economics said it is a sign that lenders are "effectively closing their doors to all but the most credit-worthy borrowers".

A third warning signal came from the Bank of England which claimed the number of people pulling out of buying homes because they cannot get a loan, or because they lose their nerve, had jumped.

About 75 per cent of cheap loans have disappeared since last summer and lenders are also making it more difficult to get a loan.

More than 60 per cent of them have still not cut their standard variable rate, nearly two weeks after the Bank of England's base rate cut.

Many more have not passed on the full 0.25 per cent cut, according to the financial information firm Moneyfacts.

Among the worst offenders is the Leicestershire-based Earl Shilton Building Society, whose SVR is down just 0.05 per cent.

Howard Archer, chief UK economist at the consultancy Global Insight, said: "Mortgage activity is being pummelled by a toxic combination of stretched affordability and very tight lending conditions."

Yesterday Yorkshire Building Society became the first lender to cut its "income multiple".

It used to lend up to five times' of an applicant's salary if they earned £55,000 or more. Now it is only prepared to lend 4.5 times of £40,000 or more.

The society, which is one of the country's major lenders, is also insisting on a minimum deposit of 10 per cent, rather than five.

All the figures point to a housing market which is in crisis, largely fuelled by a mortgage market which has changed beyond recognition.

The Bank of England's 'Summary of Business Conditions' report said sellers are having to accept 'sizeable' discounts on asking prices, often having to accept two cuts.

The website Property Snake, which tracks falling asking prices, says some homeowners are cutting up to 44 per cent off the original asking price. Overall, the National Association of Estate Agents said the number of sales falling through jumped to one in ten last month, compared to one in 12 in February.

The association said the figures were 'depressingly low', at what is usually one of its busiest times of the year.

It warned: "The current cloud of external pressures is having an unsettling effect on would be purchasers causing them to remain in their current home or to continue renting."

One of Britain's biggest firm of independent estate agents, Movewithus, warned recently one in three of Britain's 12,000 estate agents could close over the next year.

The most likely victims will be small, independent firms which opened in the boom.

House prices are predicted to fall about 20 per cent over the next two years.

And while this means many may finally be able to afford a new property or move up the chain, the big losers will be those who bought a home in the last couple of years who could be plunged into negative equity.


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What are all the redundant estate agents going to do now that they are unable to get their greasy hands on all those easy, fat commissions?

- Fraser, Telford Park, 24/04/2008 17:02
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Who do you go to to sell you house? Estate Agents. Who do you go to to buy your house? Estate Agents. It's the law of supply and demand that sets the price. People moan when they can't get a mortgage and then moan when prices go up so far that they can't afford to buy. Then people moan because what they have bought is going down in price. The lesson to be learnt is that banks should tighten their lending criteria so that we don't end up with people driving the market up when they can't afford their repayments. Such as is the case in America. It's called " sub prime lending "

- Michael, Switzerland, 24/04/2008 14:50
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One good thing has come out of this. I realised recently that I no longer get inundated daily with credit card junk mail offering me cards/loans etc.

- Lyn, London, 24/04/2008 13:41
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The issue is not whether mortgage are less available now or not but it is about ludicrous asking prices. When prices will come down 20% then buyers will return. In the meantime, buyers should sit tight and watch the slide.

- John, London, UK, 24/04/2008 13:22
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Great news that a lot of estate agents will be closing, these cowboys have blighted the high street for too long.

- Pete, London, 24/04/2008 11:43
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".. Britons taking out a mortgage has collapsed by 46 per cent."

More like being denied mortgages as bankers punished customers for their own incompetence.

- Frank, Home Counties, England., 24/04/2008 10:47
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What do you expect, if, chancellors and prime ministers sit and watch for years, as houses become investments, instead of homes and do not even consider that 200% price rises should be included in the inflation figures. It was not remotely possible that chaos would not follow. So much for the leaders of our country. Now they think they can stop house prices falling. What fools they are. If no one can afford to buy what is supposed to happen?

- Frederick, London UK, 24/04/2008 07:12
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