- My Account
- Logout
- Register
- Login
One in 10 chance of a Nineties' style property crash
Related Articles
18 September 2007
They said the confidence of borrowers had been badly damaged and the chance of a sharp downturn, particularly in London, had increased.
Simon Rubinsohn, chief economist of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, said there was now a "one in 10 chance" of a crash on the scale of the negative equity disaster of 1990 to 1993.
He also said there was a one in five chance of a 10 per cent decline in London house prices over the next 12 months. At best, the London property market would flat-line over the next 12 to 15 months. His previous forecast had been a three per cent rise.
Douglas McWilliams, chief executive of forecasters CEBR, said house prices would fall 10 per cent. He said the "extraordinarily bad" images of savers queuing was bound to hit consumer confidence leading to a downturn in consumer spending. This will in turn result in a sharp fall in economic growth, feeding straight through to property
Nineties' style property crash
prices.One central London estate agency said it had seen a dramatic drop in the number of prospective buyers. David Salvi, director of Hurford Salvi Carr, said: "We do not believe it is a coincidence that our quietest weekend of the year occurred immediately after the Northern Rock share crisis."Our research of search engines has found that other estate agents and property portals have all experienced the same trend with web-based property traffic down between 25 to 40 per cent."
Peter Rollings, managing director of Marsh & Parsons said: "The market is taking a breather."
The buy-to-let market looks particularly vulnerable because lenders see it as riskier.
Howard Archer of forecasters Global Insight said: "If the Northern Rock debacle substantially undermines already dwindling confidence in the housing market, buy-to-let will be hit first - and hardest."
There are also signs that the credit crunch could hit funding for major property developments in London.
The firm behind the planned £1billion Shard of Glass tower near London Bridge said today the problems in the financial markets were hampering negotiations to secure backing.
But there was some better news for the property market when it emerged that the headline rate of inflation slipped from 1.9 per cent to 1.8 per cent last month. This makes it more likely that there will be a cut in the Bank of England base rate before the end of the year.
But some economists fear rising food prices could push up the rate of inflation again in coming months.
Comments
Top stories in News
Top stories in News
-
British housewife facing FIRING SQUAD over Bali drugs smuggling charge was 'neighbour from hell' -
They attacked "like a pack" raining fists on a defenceless legal secretary. Yesterday they walked free from court. No wonder their victim says she has been denied justice.
-
Mayor demands report from Transport for London into Jubilee Line nightmare that left hundreds of commuters trapped for hours underground
-
Video: Intruder bursts into Leveson Inquiry to brand Tony Blair a war criminal -
Baroness Warsi calls in Lords watchdog to clear name over expenses
The O2
Check out the cool stuff happening under our tent such as the hottest gigs, comedy, sport, films, clubs, bars, restaurants and much more.
Can you imagine a career in teaching?
Be inspired to teach - let real teachers show you how rewarding the job can be.
Playing a game-changing role during the Games
Cisco is providing the solutions for London 2012's complex IT needs.
Win a Silverstone track day with Zantac 75
Feel the burn of a different kind - 20 Silverstone motoring experiences to be won
Reader Offers email A fantastic selection of
offers, giveaways and
promotions.
I'm joining Chelsea, claims Eden Hazard
TV Baftas - in pictures
EXCLUSIVE: 'I'll keep going until Blair's taken down', says David Lawley-Wakelin, intruder who burst into Leveson Inquiry
Drum'n'bass pioneer Goldie creates ‘rose’ portrait of the Queen
Chelsea close in on £62m swoop for Eden Hazard and Hulk
Video: South east London factory fire - 'Air raid siren' wakes Greenwich residents
The London best: Yoga classes
Man v Woman v Food: the big burger challenge