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Poll predicts wipe-out for Labour in South-East
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22 September 2008
Outside London, the party would be left without a single seat. Even in the capital, the Tories would win at least 15 seats as David Cameron was swept into No10 with a Commons majority of 146.
The PoliticsHome.com survey of 35,000 voters in 238 key marginal seats makes dire reading for Labour MPs, but Cabinet minister John Denham dismissed its findings, insisting the Government would hold all its seats in the South-East.
However, many MPs will be alarmed by the poll which predicts a swing from Labour to the Tories of 14.5 per cent in London commuter-belt seats, 10.5 for outer London and 9.5 for inner London.
The switching allegiances are smaller than in some other parts of the country but would still mean health minister Ann Keen and her husband Alan losing their seats in Brentford & Isleworth and Feltham & Heston respectively.
Labour deputy leadership candidate Jon Cruddas would be ousted as the Tories gained Dagenham & Rainham, and so would Home Office minister Tony McNulty, MP for Harrow East, and consumer affairs minister Gareth Thomas, MP for Harrow West.
Other victims would be government whip Sadiq Khan, MP for Tooting, senior Labour backbencher Andrew Dismore, MP for Hendon, as well as Ealing North Labour MP Stephen Pound. But Labour would win back Bethnal Green and Bow from Respect's George Galloway.
The South-East would be left with not a single Labour seat with losses in Brighton, Hove, Hastings & Rye, Southampton, Swindon, Dover, Crawley, Dartford, Slough, Harlow and Reading, as well as a string of other towns.
Across the country, Cabinet ministers voted out would include James Purnell, John Hutton, Jack Straw, Des Browne, Geoff Hoon, Ruth Kelly, Jacqui Smith and Mr Denham, as well as senior Blairites Charles Clarke and Alan Milburn.
However, Southampton Itchen MP Mr Denham told the BBC South-East Politics Show: "Gordon Brown... delivered for the South-East in the past and he'll deliver for the South-East in the future."
The Liberal Democrats would hold their London seats but lose 19 in other parts of the country, taking their total down to 44.
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