- My Account
- Logout
- Register
- Login
The negative equity map of London: The top 10 boroughs most at risk from sub-prime debt
Related Articles
14 April 2008
The London boroughs at greatest risk from the housing crisis can be revealed today.
Tens of thousands of home owners across the capital will be plunged into negative equity this year if property prices fall by 20 per cent.
People who have taken on huge mortgages compared with the value of their homes will owe more than the building is worth.
Buy-to-let investors who tried to cash in on the housing boom will be among the worst hit, according to analysis obtained by the London Evening Standard.
Scroll down for more...
Many London areas, particularly in the east, are at serious risk of negative equity, as the above map shows. Buy-to-let investors who tried to cash in on the housing boom could lose the most
Experian, one of Britain's largest credit rating agencies, believes Calderwood Street in Thamesmead SE18 is the most vulnerable road in the capital.
Flats there that were selling for £250,000 last year are now being offered for £200,000 in a sign of how the market has shrunk. Next on the list are Erebus Drive, also in Thamesmead, and Queenstown Road, Battersea.
A 'risk map' of London also reveals that the three most vulnerable parliamentary constituencies are all held by Labour.
Hackney South and Shoreditch tops the list, followed by Poplar and Canning Town, the seat of former minister for London Jim Fitzpatrick, and Barking, where culture minister Margaret Hodge is MP.
These are all areas where the average loan-to-value ratio tops 60 per cent. But in Calderwood Street, a favourite for buy-to-let investors, that figure soars to 91 per cent.
There are fears that the high concentration of amateur landlords facing negative equity could tip the rest of the market into crisis.
Ed Stansfield, property expert at Capital Economics, said: "If you bought in the last 12 months you are far more at risk than if you bought three years ago.
'Anyone who bought in the last 12 months with less than a 15 per cent deposit is running the risk of going into negative equity.'
Experian warned that anyone approaching the end of a fixed-rate deal was in a weak position.
Matt Sherwood, senior global economist at the firm, said: "The concern is that it would only take a 10 per cent decline in house prices and we would have households in negative equity.'
Experian, which holds credit information including mortgage details on millions of borrowers, rates anyone with a loan worth more than 60 per cent of the value of their property as 'high risk'.
It estimates that if prices fell by 20 per cent, 20,000 households in London would be in negative equity. Across Britain, that number would rise to 78,000 and could even double if prices fell by 30 per cent.
At the height of the property crash in the Nineties, an estimated 1.8million home owners suffered negative equity.
London and the South-East were the worst hit as prices fell 27 per cent and tens of thousands lost their homes because they could no longer afford their mortgages.
The Halifax, Britain's biggest mortgage lender, reported last week that prices fell in March at their fastest rate since 1992.
'Independent economists believe prices could fall by around 20 per cent in the next two years. The International Monetary Fund says UK house prices are overvalued by 30 per cent.
The crisis has been prompted by a borrowing binge and rocketing house prices which have left people in debt and unable to deal with a downturn.
In a normal market, the ratio of average earnings to house prices should be no more than 1:4.
The average wage in London is £35,000 while the average house price is almost £350,000 - a ratio of 1:10.
Comments
Top stories in News
Top stories in News
-
Eden Hazard is key to Roman Abramovich’s dreams of fantasy football at Chelsea
-
TV Baftas - in pictures
-
British woman Lindsay Sandiford facing death penalty over Bali drugs haul is mother of violent robber who carried out raids in London
-
London Fields forever: street style from the hipster park
-
News pictures of the day
-
Locked up and banned: The Tube drunk whose vile racist rant was caught on film (video)
-
British housewife facing FIRING SQUAD over Bali drugs smuggling charge was 'neighbour from hell' -
They attacked "like a pack" raining fists on a defenceless legal secretary. Yesterday they walked free from court. No wonder their victim says she has been denied justice.
-
Mayor demands report from Transport for London into Jubilee Line nightmare that left hundreds of commuters trapped for hours underground
-
Video: Intruder bursts into Leveson Inquiry to brand Tony Blair a war criminal
-
Usain Bolt is quick to tell fans he’ll be lightning fast again -
Invasion of the book snatchers: Brent Council sneaks into Kensal Rise library at 2am to strip it bare -
Video: Is this the World's most OTT marriage proposal? Hilarious film -
Lessons in love: Fifty Shades of Grey ignites desire to write erotica -
Drum'n'bass pioneer Goldie creates ‘rose’ portrait of the Queen
The O2
Check out the cool stuff happening under our tent such as the hottest gigs, comedy, sport, films, clubs, bars, restaurants and much more.
Can you imagine a career in teaching?
Be inspired to teach - let real teachers show you how rewarding the job can be.
Playing a game-changing role during the Games
Cisco is providing the solutions for London 2012's complex IT needs.
Win a Silverstone track day with Zantac 75
Feel the burn of a different kind - 20 Silverstone motoring experiences to be won
Celebrate with MARTINI®
This weekend toast one royal with another and make your Jubilee sparkle with a MARTINI Royale.
Reader Offers email A fantastic selection of
offers, giveaways and
promotions.