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Worst of the credit crunch is 'yet to come', financial chiefs warn
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14 July 2008
Hard times ahead: Financial chiefs predict we haven't seen the worst of the credit crunch yet
Two-thirds of financial chiefs among the country's top 350 companies believe we haven't yet seen the worst of the credit crunch.
The gloomy forecast was made in a second-quarter survey of 83 chief financial officers, representing companies worth a combined £260billion.
Professional services firm Deloitte said 66 per cent disagreed with a May statement by U.S. Treasury secretary Henry Paulson that the worst of the crunch 'is likely to be behind us'.
The findings come a week after business leaders at the British Chambers of Commerce warned of a 'serious risk' of recession as the UK's economic gloom mounts.
Corporate cashflow is coming under increased pressure as the squeeze makes credit harder to come by and more expensive, the survey found.
More than three-quarters (77 per cent) of chief financial officers said credit is hard to obtain, up from 63 per cent in March and 48 per cent in September last year, Deloitte added.
Partner and vice-chairman Margaret Ewing said: 'Tighter credit conditions-have triggered a major change in corporates' attitude to debt. Enthusiasm for raising borrowing - or gearing - has fallen sharply.'
There was also more bad news for the Bank of England rate-setters attempting to keep a lid on inflation despite spiralling oil, food and energy costs.
A majority of respondents, 54 per cent, told Deloitte they were likely to raise prices following the rise in inflation.
Despite the recent falls of the FTSE 100 Index into 'bear market' territory - defined by a decrease of 20 per cent or more from the peak - financial bosses are bullish about prospects for takeover activity, with 49 per cent saying shares look cheap.
Director of research Ian Stewart said it was clear that firms 'expect inflation to bite'.
'CFOs appear to prefer to raise prices rather than see margins be eroded,' he added. 'The big question will be whether demand is sufficiently resilient to accept price rises.'
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