Tories to secure Crewe win - poll - News in brief

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The ComRes poll for The Independent put the Conservatives on 48%, 13 points ahead and on course for a 14% swing and its first by-election gain for 25 years.

It also contained more bad news for Gordon Brown - with his own party supporters shown to consider him less of an electoral asset there than David Cameron for the Opposition.

Labour enjoyed a 7,780 majority in the constituency at the last election but the death of veteran MP Gwyneth Dunwoody opened the way for a close-fought battle.

The poll is the latest of a series to put the Tories far enough ahead to ensure the late MP's daughter Tamsin does not succeed her mother in the Commons.

Conducted between Thursday and Sunday, it put the Liberal Democrats on 12% and other parties on 5%.

It found 60% of voters in Crewe believed the under-fire Prime Minister was an electoral liability and just 13% thought his leadership helped the party's cause.

Opinion was even split among the party's own supporters, with 33% considering him an asset and 34% a liability.

More of them (37%) believed Mr Cameron was an asset to his party's chances and less (28%) viewed him as a liability.

The poll predicted turnout would be higher that the 60% at the last General Election with Tory voters more certain to get to the ballot box than those backing Labour of the Liberal Democrats (80% compared with 71% and 67%).