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Tory lead over Labour narrows
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03 January 2008
The ICM survey for the Sunday Telegraph, taken in the two days after Mr Conway was stripped of the Conservative whip, put David Cameron's party on 37% - down three points since a similar poll a month ago - Labour on 32% (down one point) and the Liberal Democrats on 21% (up three).
Voters taking part also told the pollsters that the single policy that would make them more likely to vote Tory was putting more police on the streets.
The five-point Conservative lead, down from seven in early January, is well below the levels generally considered necessary at this stage of a Parliament to herald victory for the opposition at a General Election.
Coupled with an Ipsos Mori poll on Friday which put Labour one point ahead, it may spark concerns among Tory strategists that Prime Minister Gordon Brown has turned a corner after his disastrous autumn.
According to Sunday Telegraph analysis, the vagaries of the British first-past-the-post electoral system mean that today's result, if repeated at a General Election, would leave Labour the largest single party in a hung Parliament, with 289 MPs to the Tories' 273.
ICM interviewed 1,012 adults for the Sunday Telegraph on January 30 and 31.
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