- My Account
- Logout
- Register
- Login
UK economy shrinks at faster rate
Related Articles
28 January 2009
The figure - revised lower from the original 1.5% estimate by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) - represents the worst fall in output since April-June 1980.
The slump was driven by a bigger-than-estimated fall in construction as well as declining output from the UK's services sector.
The pressure on struggling households was laid bare by a 1% fall in spending over the quarter. This represents the biggest drop since 1980 as households fearful of rising unemployment batten down the hatches.
The new caution was also underlined by a huge jump in the proportion of savings being put aside. This soared to 4.8% during the final three months of 2008 - almost treble the amount in the previous quarter.
Although GDP growth over the whole of 2008 was left unchanged at 0.7%, the newly-revised fourth-quarter figures left GDP 2% down year on year and sparked predictions of a 4% decline over the course of 2009.
Capital Economics' Jonathan Loynes said: "The rise in the saving ratio from 1.7% to 4.8% suggests that the required adjustment in households' balance sheets is at least under way. But these processes have much further to go and the early signals point to a fall in GDP of a similar magnitude in the first quarter of 2009, putting the economy on track to contract by as much as 4% this year."
The ONS figures revealed a far steeper decline in commercial construction, housebuilding and infrastructure work at the end of last year than first thought.
The 4.9% fall in output was the worst since 1980 and sharply lower than the ONS's 1.1% initial estimate. The services sector - which accounts for almost three-quarters of the economy - saw its fastest contraction since 1979, although the 0.8% decline was revised up from the initial 0.9% estimate.
IHS Global Insight economist Howard Archer warned: "Consumer spending will be increasingly pressurised by soaring unemployment and markedly reduced income growth, while business investment is being slashed in the face of sharply weakened demand, rising levels of spare capacity, worsening cash flows and very tight credit conditions."
Top stories in News in brief
News in brief in Pictures
Top stories in News in brief
News in brief in Pictures
-
London gets ready for the Diamond Jubilee - in pictures
-
EXCLUSIVE: I won't play with Joey Barton, says Adel Taarabt
-
Diamond Jubilee: Boat by boat, here is where to watch the Queen's Thames flotilla - VIDEO
-
Duchess of Cambridge is pretty in pink at her first Buckingham Palace garden party
-
News pictures of the day
-
‘We will form a human barricade to keep missiles off our homes’
-
Hunt-ed: Labour pile on pressure for Culture Secretary - Immigrant robber faces deportation after knifepoint hold-up on train
-
Diamond Jubilee: Boat by boat, here is where to watch the Queen's Thames flotilla - VIDEO -
Hague: Military involvement in Syria would be on much larger scale than Libya
The O2
Check out the cool stuff happening under our tent such as the hottest gigs, comedy, sport, films, clubs, bars, restaurants and much more.
A home to be proud of with Halifax
Download the Halifax's brilliant, free new Home Finder app, and take all the pain out of finding your dream home.
Can you imagine a career in teaching?
Be inspired to teach - let real teachers show you how rewarding the job can be.
Playing a game-changing role during the Games
Cisco is providing the solutions for London 2012's complex IT needs.
Win a Silverstone track day with Zantac 75
Feel the burn of a different kind - 20 Silverstone motoring experiences to be won
Celebrate with MARTINI®
This weekend toast one royal with another and make your Jubilee sparkle with a MARTINI Royale.
Reader Offers email A fantastic selection of
offers, giveaways and
promotions.
Why I think doctors are right to strike
Family pay tribute to the London man who gave his life to save a five-year-old girl from drowning
Eton schoolboys fly Games flag on Everest
Horror on the 5.53! Commuter dragged 200 feet after getting hand trapped on train
Shrimpy's - review