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Brave Prospector has the tools to strike gold at Ayr
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18 September 2009
Nicholls has won the six-furlong sprint five times in the last nine years, with his winners priced between 10-1 and 33-1.
Successful again last year with Regal Parade, who won the Group 1 Haydock Sprint Cup two weeks ago, the Thirsk trainer saddles five runners in tomorrow's renewal of the £150,000 race.
His son, Adrian, rides Evens And Odds, who was runner-up to Genki (who re-opposes) in the Stewards' Cup at Goodwood last time.
While he won a decent handicap at Newmarket in May off an official mark of 90, Evens And Odds will have to produce a career-best effort to land Scotland's richest race, since he runs off 102 this time.
Much has been made of the draw bias and, although trainers have decided that a high berth is preferable, winners in the past few years have come from stalls 20, 22, 6, 2, 8, 10, 16, 22 and 7.
Although a progressive five-year-old, it would take a brave man to back Evens And Odds at 7-1 with race sponsors William Hill, considering his strike-rate reads three wins from 29 starts.
BRAVE PROSPECTOR (nap), however, is a four-year-old on an upward curve and possessing a touch of class, can land the spoils (3.10, Channel 4).
A well-bred son of champion sprinter Oasis Dream, he has had a light campaign with just four runs this season.
His Stewards' Cup effort last month, when making eye-catching late headway from a draw on the 'wrong' side of the track, was franked last time when landing a decent handicap over an extended six-furlongs at Doncaster.
While the colt carries a 5lb penalty, 3lb of that is negated by highly capable apprentice Jack Mitchell's claim and Brave Prospector runs off a mark of 97 - which he has won from previously.
With his confidence boosted, the Peter Chapple-Hyam runner is great value at around 16-1, particularly as he is drawn near the pace horses in stall 20 and has the good ground he relishes. He remains open to improvement.
At bigger prices, Tombi appeals. He has run some fine races in defeat this season, notably when a length second to Regal Parade at York over seven furlongs. All his wins have come at tomorrow's trip on quick ground and the 40-1 with Hills looks too big.
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