Weather Afternoon: 10°c Sunny spells Tonight: 4°c Partly Cloudy Night

Business

Average house prices 2003-08
Graphic depiction: house prices are lower than a year ago

'0.9% drop' as Halifax fuels house price gloom

Hugo Duncan
2 May 2008


The housing gloom deepened today as the Halifax said prices are lower than they were a year ago for the first time in more than 12 years.

The mortgage lender said the value of the average house has dropped 0.9% since April last year to £189,027 - the first fall since February 1996. Following similarly grim news from rival Nationwide, it was yet more proof that the property boom of recent years is well and truly over.

Halifax chief economist Martin Ellis said: "We are expecting a modest decline in house prices in 2008, and there is a strong chance that will continue into 2009. House prices are high in relation to earnings so there is a problem for people entering the market, and there is a general squeeze on spending as well."

The warning came after Nationwide reported its first annual decline in house prices since 1996. It said on Wednesday that prices are now 1% lower than a year ago.

Today's news piled further pressure on the Bank of England to cut interest rates next week to ease lending conditions and breathe life into the ailing market. Rates in America were cut by the Federal Reserve from 2.25% to 2% on Wednesday as the US battles recession-but the Bank seems reluctant to follow suit because of the threat of rising inflation.

Although economists forecast UK rates will fall this year, opinion is split over whether the next cut will come next Thursday or in June.

Two of the Bank's monetary policy committee (MPC), Andrew Sentance and Tim Besley, voted against April's rate cut from 5.25% to 5%, signalling that policymakers are split on how to
deal with the crisis. The Bank has cut rates from 5.75% since December but mortgage costs have remained high and hit demand for property.

Lenders have raised mortgage rates and withdrawn their best offers as a result of the credit crunch, making it almost impossible for first-time buyers to get on the housing ladder.

Philip Shaw of Investec said the Bank has an "aversion to back-to-back moves", and that the split on the MPC makes a May rate cut unlikely. He added: "Even so, we are still rattled by some weak news coming through from the economy, especially the housing market."

Jonathan Loynes of Capital Economics said: "Disagreement on the MPC has intensified between those members who are more worried about the near-term inflation outlook and those whose concerns centre on the weakening growth prospects."

BUILDERS SUFFER
The construction industry has had its worst month for almost a decade as the faltering economy takes its toll.

Figures from the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply today gave a reading of 46.1 for April, down from 47.2 in March and below the 50 mark that represents growth. It was the weakest figure since October 1998.

Roy Ayliffe, CIPS' director of professional practice, said: "Worryingly, growth in the UK construction sector has fallen at the sharpest rate in almost nine-and-a-half years as purchasing managers report significantly lower levels of output and new orders. In particular, housing and commercial have suffered the worst."

Reader views (2)

 Add your view

Simply because a type of asset, residential property, is experiencing falling prices is absolutely no reason for the Bank of England to reduce interest rates.

- Beth Williams, London, 05/05/2008 13:23
Report abuse

Nice to see the housing market crumble, may it continue.

Might wake the lazy, self centred, selfish, British mugs up and to start thinking of this country problems instead of the worlds problems.

- Nickbar, london, 05/05/2008 13:23
Report abuse


Add your comment

 

Terms and conditions Make text area bigger You have  characters left.

We welcome your opinions. This is a public forum. Libellous and abusive comments are not allowed. Please read our House Rules.

For information about privacy and cookies please read our Privacy Policy.


 

 

  • Slump looms in eurozone as economy takes a dive Euro Europe's lingering debt crisis has pushed the eurozone closer to recession as the beleaguered single currency bloc's economy shrank for the...
  • Sports Direct is on right track Mike Ashley Sports Direct is on track to hit its "super-stretch" profit targets this year, passing the first hurdle that could see it hand founder Mike...
  • Bank may turn off printing presses as inflation drops Mervyn King The Bank of England's latest £50 billion burst of quantitative easing may be the last time it needs to resort to the printing presses
  • Online orders on mobiles lift Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza UK said its online sales have powered ahead to account for more than half of delivered sales
  • Debt deadline: Greece on brink Hopes were rising that Greece will sign up to the first €130 billion (£109 billion) bailout from the European Union and International Monetary Fund
  • Frothy profits at Heineken Beer The economy might be in dire straits but Brits still love a pint down the pub
  • French banks face battering on exposure to Greek debt French banks look set to take one of the biggest haircuts on Greek debt as the country's largest, BNP Paribas, has said it had raised its provisions on Greek sovereign bonds to 75%
  • Thorntons calls in a former Gunner to help turnaround Thorntons The chocolatier Thorntons has turned to the former boss of Arsenal football club to turn around its fortunes
  • LandSecs £1bn joint venture for Victoria A £1 billion-plus redevelopment is on the way at Victoria station
  • Morgan Crucible results surge on emerging market growth Morgan Crucible reported highest-ever full-year results, helped by strong performance across both its divisions, and reiterated that 2012 growth would be driven by new products and emerging markets
  •  
    Market Roundup
    WEDNESDAY UPDATE

    Barclaycard's exit leaves CPP with an identity crisis

    Bye bye Barclaycard. Nearly a year since the FSA started investigating CPP over its sales techniques, the identity theft protection firm touched a new, all-time low today after admitting it was losing one of its most high-profile clients

    More