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Eye of the storm: Headhunter Michael Page has seen its business in the City and Canary Wharf slide 15% as banks turn off the recruitment tap

Grim warning over City jobs from Michael Page

Robert Lea, Evening Standard
7 Oct 2008


Confidence in the jobs market in the City and Canary Wharf is withering, according to middle management recruiter Michael Page, which could soon start letting go hundreds of its own headhunters.

Page, a specialist in the UK finance and accounting industries, reported a 15% fall in business in the third ­trading quarter with many banks “turning the tap off” for new recruits. Legal, sales and IT recruitment are all down too.
Today's trading statement for the three months to the end of September was Page's most bearish for years.

“The weakness in the banking sector which started over a year is now having a significant impact on other sectors,” the company told investors.
“As confidence erodes, and clients and candidates become more cautious, the recruitment process lengthens.”

The rate of decline in the UK and in the financial jobs market in particular has been rapid.

At the half-year Page had admitted that UK finance and accounting placements had fallen 8% — a collapse in business from the 11% growth it had seen during 2007. “It is all about confidence,” said Page chief executive Steve Ingham. “If you are considering moving jobs and you hear the next wave of bad news you begin to ask: Do I feel safe doing this?'”

With UK business down 8.3% for the quarter — against growth of nearly 20% last year — the recruiter admitted other sectors were hurting. Legal, IT, human resources and ­secretarial placements fell 8%. Marketing, sales and retail recruitment was down 5%.

Ingham said the decline in business would affect his own recruitment. In the three months Page let 76 people go in the UK, but with business expected to drop by more than 10% in the coming months, further losses are expected among Page's nearly 1800 UK staff.

Shares in Michael Page International have halved in the past year. But as a global firm, it is keeping its head above water with gross profits in the third quarter coming in an underlying 3.9% better at £141 million.

Its European business, which accounts for 45% of the group (against the UK which accounts for a third), rose 12.5%. Its Asia-Pacific business, which accounts for 13% of the group, was up by 6%, while the Americas operations, at one-tenth of the group, grew 17%.

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It's quite laughable that Michael Page are predicting this as nothing I have experienced has indicated any downturn. In fact the more stable banks are cherry picking the cream of the crop.

The last time I had any dealings with MP they had their finger so far of the pulse I walked away from the 20 year old 'advisor' with upto '14 months' experience in recruitment.

No wonder Adecco pulled out of buying them.

- Big Andy, London, 07/10/2008 12:16
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If they can just hold on, they'll have a lot of government members queueing at their doors, next year.

- John Problem, Hackney Wick, London, UK, 07/10/2008 11:46
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