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Oil prices on the slide as fears grow of global slump

Bill Condie
13 Nov 2008


Oil prices fell to just above $50 a barrel today, marking a loss of two-thirds in value from their peak in July.

The December Brent contract was down $1.77 at $50.60 while US crude slid $1.35 to $54.81.

The drop in oil prices has accelerated as economic news becomes bleaker, with traders focused on economic outlooks rather than the decision by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) to cut output.

Asian stock markets tumbled again today with the Nikkei down almost 6%, the Hang Seng in Hong Kong down 6.6% and Australia's All Ordinaries down more than 5% as new gloom gripped investors.

The threat of a deep global recession has led to downgrades of fuel consumption forecasts.

The US Energy Department slashed its 2009 oil consumption forecast and is expecting demand next year to drop more severely than any time since 1980. Petroleum consumption is projected to sink by 250,000 barrels per day, or 1.3%, more than twice that projected in its previous outlook.

Motorists, however, have only seen partial benefits from the dramatic slide in oil prices. According to the AA, average prices at the pump are 95.6p a litre, just 20% down from their highs.

Meanwhile, Premier Oil, which is expanding production in Asia, increased output in the September quarter by 5% to some 36,800 barrels a day and flagged the possibilities of acquisitions.

The company, which is focused on several Asian projects, has a strong balance sheet with some $300 million (£199.4 million) in cash and a further $275 million in facilities it has yet to drawn on.

"In the current environment we are well placed to pursue acquisition opportunities," chief executive Simon Lockett said.

Australia's Woodside Petroleum, 24%-owned by Royal Dutch Shell, is also forging ahead with investment plans. It says it expects to boost capital investment by 33% next year to increase liquefied natural gas production to tap continuing North Asian demand, particularly from Japan.

The Australian firm says capital expenditure may rise to A$7.3 billion (£3.12 billion) in 2009, up from an estimated A$5.5 billion this year.

Despite the difficult credit markets, Woodside plans to raise between $1 billion and $1.5 billion of debt in the first half next year to fund expansion, according to Lawrie Tremaine, group financial controller.

Woodside is building the A$12 billion Pluto LNG venture in Western Australia to gain from rising use of cleaner fuels.

Reader views (2)

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I am amazed that someone so knowledgeable about the causes of the recent oil price hike is incapable of spelling “recession”,” financial”, “peak”, “economic” and” credit swaps”. If you wish for people to take your opinions seriously please take the time to learn your spelling first!

- Richard, Colchester, 14/11/2008 09:07
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Low oil prices is a good thing.... The global recession was triggered by high oil prices (the same way as it did during the 70's). Lower oil prices will brign us out of recesions ... and then of course oil prices will go up again .....

The fluctuating oil price is due to supply (we are now at pek oil) ... and speculation by the finacial derivative markets.

The first step towards world wide econmic stability is to regulate the derivatives market (oil, stocks crdeit swops etc).

The second step is to give up the mantra of econimic growth at all costs.... The world has now reached (or in fact exceeded) its capacity for human growth.

- Marke, Houston, Texas, 13/11/2008 14:34
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