Weather Tonight: 5°c Partly Cloudy Night Morning: 10°c Cloudy

Business

Busy commuter train
Rail pain: passenger growth levels were high in summer but are now falling back

Go-Ahead fares up as commuter boom ends

Robert Lea
16 Dec 2008


The boom on the commuter railways that come into the capital from the south is ending just as City workers are about to be hit with the biggest fare rises in years.

Go-Ahead Group, the company which runs Southeastern and Southern Railways, admitted today growth rates on its commuter trains have dropped sharply in recent months.

Other operators, notably South West Trains and Virgin Trains group Stagecoach, have warned that fewer passengers means lower profits going into next year.

Go-Ahead, however, said today it expects to hit the City's targets on its profits because it expects to offset any decline in passenger growth with inflation-busting increases for commuters of up to 8% on fares.

Southeastern and Southern Railways, which deliver commuters into and out of London Bridge, Cannon Street, Charing Cross and Victoria, had previously reported passenger numbers growth in the year to the end of last June of between 6% and 7%, enabling it to post revenue growth in excess of 13%.

That is now running in single digits as it reported that for the six months to the end of December revenue growth is at or below 10% with the October-November-December quarter coming in weaker than the previous three months.

That has been put down to the number of job losses in the City already running at toward 100,000. However, those still commuting come January are to be hit with fare rises of 8% on Southeastern and 6% on Southern. The annual rises are calculated, respectively, on a formula of 3% and 1% over the Retail Prices Index in the previous July, when this year the rate of inflation was running away at 5%.

Go-Ahead chief executive Keith Ludeman said there was no mechanism by which the fare rise can be lessened. "We run a regulated railway where the fares are regulated and where they go up only once a year," he said.

Worst affected of Go-Ahead's services is the Gatwick Express, which has been hit by falling air passenger volumes on the back of airline failures and route closures at London's second airport.

Go-Ahead reported a writedown of £40 million in its aviation business. It is valued at £25 million compared with the £80 million it paid for it in 2001.

Reader views (14)

 Add your view

British Rail, British Gas, The Water Board - the good old days.

- Frederick, London UK, 17/12/2008 09:12
Report abuse

You can always go here and live in London!

- Jacqueline, Hampstead, London, 16/12/2008 20:16
Report abuse

When there were many commuters to lower prices make the service efficient and profitable cost wise/passenger they now increase due to lack of custom. We commuter cannot win in good times and bad. It seems transport companies always want to make a fast buck to maintain their salaries and bonuses above inflation, their companies profits for shareholders and their final pensions. I wish there was something we could do to stop this escalating ongoing robbery.

- Peter Noterfed, Paris, France, 16/12/2008 18:53
Report abuse

Privatization has failed. Nationalize.

- Mick, London, England, 16/12/2008 16:42
Report abuse

The answer is to create more local jobs for local people to stop the commute; and more tower blocks in London to house the workers with cheap, realistic accomodation. End these dormitory commuter towns now.

- Dhanraj, Basildon Essex, 16/12/2008 14:00
Report abuse

"... fewer passengers means lower profits ..." - These people are brilliant!

Oh well, price hikes all round then. By the way it didn't matter whether passenger numbers were down or not, the huge price hikes were going to happen anyway. Thieving b*stards.

- Frank, Home Counties, England, 16/12/2008 13:44
Report abuse

All commuter trains into and out of London and standing room only.

If the train companies cannot make a profit, then the business model must be wrong. ie, train travel should be not-for-profit - despite the shakeup in banking, London still needs to attract good people to work here, and having a crappy, expensive train service is not going go help.

- Tim, London, 16/12/2008 13:31
Report abuse

As an ex employee of go via i can confirm as most people would have guessed that the firm are only intrested in your £££££ ,They are not intrested in passenger/ staff safety as it costs to much money they want a quite life with no bad press so that the shareholders can rub their greedy corparate hands with glee with no concern to anyone else at least the fat cats of go ahead will have a good xmas at everyone elses expense , hopefully the reccession will hit them where it hurts in their pockets .

Merry Xmas Everybody

- George, Bexhill UK, 16/12/2008 13:29
Report abuse

WHy do people go live so far away anyhow?

- Georgie, Islington, London, 16/12/2008 12:39
Report abuse

Maggie, nice try but rail travel is VAT exempt.

- Jon, London, 16/12/2008 12:20
Report abuse

Hopefully the 8% pay rise I'll be copping from Southern next year will allow them to run their trains to some semblance of a timetable, especially seeing as my train has arrived at it's destination on time once in the last 3 months.

- Bob, Cheam, 16/12/2008 12:03
Report abuse

Rip-off rail prices, losing jobs, are forcing people off the trains we have no money for these increases. Cut the fat cat salaries paid to the bosses. Try reducing the fares vat has come down.

- Maggie, London, 16/12/2008 11:18
Report abuse

Why do profits HAVE to go up year on year? Why can't the railway companies be satisfied with same profit year on year? Their business model means that inevitably fares will one day be totally unaffordable. The higher the fares, the less people use the service, which in the present model means that those remaining passengers are expected to foot the bill for the shortfall. It is quite absurd.

- Paul Mc Donald, London UK, 16/12/2008 11:14
Report abuse

Putting prices up to world beating levels will only accelerate the decline in rail travel (or is that the idea, less investment subsidies?)
Pity the commuters using SouthEastern who are going to have to pay for the empty new fast trains.

- Paul, London, 16/12/2008 10:44
Report abuse


Add your comment

 

Terms and conditions Make text area bigger You have  characters left.

We welcome your opinions. This is a public forum. Libellous and abusive comments are not allowed. Please read our House Rules.

For information about privacy and cookies please read our Privacy Policy.


 

 

  • Moody's threat to Europe's banks sparks fury in City Euro problem graph Moody's has sent shockwaves through the global banking system and sparked fury in the City, as the ratings agency threatened to slash the...
  • Bank's China bond call Peter Sands One of London's most senior bankers is calling on the government to issue a renminbi-denominated bond as part of a charm offensive to boost...
  • Seven Olympus bosses held over £1bn fraud Olympus "After going to hell and back this is a day to remember," said fired Olympus boss and whistle-blower Michael Woodford after seven executives...
  • Spain pays for rating cut Struggling Spain has managed to prise another €4 billion (£3.3 billion) from jittery bond markets today but was forced to pay more for the privilege
  • Kingfisher bonus time as targets are smashed B&Q Ian Cheshire, B&Q owner Kingfisher's chief executive, and his top team are set for bumper payouts after smashing its bonus scheme's targets
  • Greek impasse hits euro Greek protesters European stock markets were jittery and the euro has dropped to its lowest level in four weeks as the brinksmanship between Greece and its...
  • PPR thrives as luxury brands remain strong Handbag Add £1000 python skin Gucci handbags to the list of things that remain popular despite the economic gloom
  • BAE set to axe more jobs as profits go into retreat BAE BAE Systems has raised the prospect of further job cuts as Britain's biggest manufacturer announced a disappointing set of results for 2011...
  • Reed Elsevier sees growth despite tough economy Anglo-Dutch publishing and events group Reed Elsevier reported a rise in full year profit and said it expected to generate more revenue and profit growth in 2012
  • Frothy profits at Heineken Beer The economy might be in dire straits but Brits still love a pint down the pub
  •  
    Market Roundup
    THURSDAY UPDATE

    Unilever urged to go for a break-up after food disappoints

    Is it time for Unilever to consider breaking up?

    More