Weather Tonight: 9°c Light showers Morning: 14°c Overcast

Business

HEADLINES:
Market trader
Annus miserabilis: but some traders expect the stock market to rally by 12-15% in the second half of next year

Housebuilders fall 85% to be worst sector of year

Rosamund Urwin
31.12.08

Housebuilding shares today closed down 85% on the year, making it the worst 12 months in the sector's history.

The miserable performance won them the unwanted title of the worst performing stocks in London, in a dire year for shares in which the FTSE 100 lost almost a third of its value.

Taylor Wimpey, the heavily indebted group formed from the merger of George Wimpey and Taylor Woodrow last year, suffered most, seeing 93% wiped off the value of its equity during 2008. The company was booted out of the Footsie in March and from the FTSE 250 index in the most recent reshuffle.

The entire housebuilding sector has been hammered by the biggest slump in the property market in three decades. Housebuilders saw off considerable competition for the wooden spoon, with banking stocks also enduring a miserable ride, losing 57% of their value.

Royal Bank of Scotland and HBOS have been hardest hit. Both banks are now members of the 90% club, the tag attached to companies whose shares are worth just 10% of their peak value over the last three years. Rivals Lloyds TSB and Barclays, meanwhile, have lost almost 70% of their value in 2008.

Retailers have not been spared the sell-off as consumers stop splashing out in stores and hoard their cash.

The industry's shares are down 46% on the year and are expected to continue to fall in the coming weeks as tales of woe continue to pour out of the High Street. The January reporting season kicks off for retailers next week, with Debenhams and Marks & Spencer updating the market on trading over the Christmas period.

Miners, the investors' favourite during the start of 2008, have also lost almost half their value this year, as fears of falling demand from China and other developing countries has eaten into earnings forecasts.

One of the few rays of sunshine for investors in 2008 has been the pharmaceuticals sector, which has managed to defy the gloom, gaining 7%. The industry has been boosted by a stellar performance from AstraZeneca, and is traditionally seen as a safe haven for investors in times of turmoil.

Among the top flight, AstraZeneca and British Energy, which is being taken over by French energy giant EDF, are the only two which have managed to remain in the blue in 2008.

After a miserable 2008, analysts are forecasting a better performance in the last six months of 2009. "The stock market will rally in the second half of the year by around 12-15%," David Buik of BGC Partners predicts. "Shares tend to move around six months to a year ahead of the rest of the economy".

Buik also sees something of a reversal in fortunes in 2009 for certain industries.

"Pharmaceuticals will perform strongly for the first 6 months but I expect US President Barack Obama to put the boot into the sector with a swathe of new measures, while I expect retailers to start to recover in the second half of next year," he said.

Reader views (3)

 Add your view

So long as Brown and the rest of the blinkered politicians continue to bail out their buddies and fund the banking sector instead of the general public and businesses the recession will continue in its downwards path.

If Brown had given the £500bn to each adult in this country (£8000) it would have had a far more profound effect. Those of us wanting to spend the money would have spent it, those of us looking to save the money would have put it in the bank.

Brown/Darling, wake up, pull your heads out of your bottoms and do something to help the general public and for goodness sake lay the law down properly on the banking, utility and transport companies while you still have some control of the situation.

- Harry, London

Considering the poorly built and overpriced housing in recent years I have no pity for builders. They had it good for too long in my opinion.

- David, London

Most of us feel a warm schadenfreude at the thought of bankers, construction firms and estate agents going to the wall, but I suppose we have to think of their ordinary employees who are losing their jobs, too.

- David Chown, bordeaux France (ex-pat)


Add your comment

 

Your email address will not be published

Terms and conditions make text area bigger You have  characters left.


 
Market Roundup
MONDAY UPDATE

Morgan Stanley casts cloud over Thomas Cook and Tui

Fresh weakness in the dollar gave a further boost to commodity prices which, in turn, brought in the buyers for mining shares

More



City Spy, cityspy@standard.co.uk

To be Frank, he’s a heroin of our time

“It's been a while since Frank Timis graced City Spy so a big shout out to the former boss of Regal Petroleum who told the market he'd found a whole load of oil in Greece only for it to turn out he hadn't

More

CitiDirect.co.uk - Directory Enquiry Service for UK Businesses

CitiDirect.co.uk - Directory Enquiry Service for UK Businesses
Service Area or postcode