Weather Tonight: 3°c Partly Cloudy Night Morning: 6°c Cloudy

Business

Barclays
Sign of trouble: critics are queuing up even though bank says it will beat profit targets

Barclays fightback fails to ease fears of taxpayer rescue

Robert Lea
19 Jan 2009


Initial euphoria that Barclays had escaped the worst of the banking crisis evaporated today as City analysts queued up to predict the High Street bank will be forced to call for a handout from the British taxpayer.

After a share-price collapse on Friday, Barclays today came back fighting, saying its profits for 2008 will be higher than most City expectations.

But investor fright at the extent of the Government's second banking bailout and fears Barclays does not have enough funding capital on its balance sheet saw initial gains in Barclays shares wiped out, in line with steep falls among rivals Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds Banking Group (now including Halifax group HBOS) and HSBC.

Growing fears the British banking system could be on the verge of collapse saw Barclays shares nearly halve last week, falling on Friday alone by 25%.

Crucially for Barclays investors, today's second bailout of the UK banking system, which saw state ownership of RBS extended to 70%, did not include direct intervention by the Government. In the autumn, Barclays raised £7 billion from Middle East investors in return for a 32% stake.

Barclays shares, which dived to 98p from 130.4p on Friday, topped 121p at today's open after the bank issued a statement saying: "The board of Barclays knows no justification for the fall in the share price."

Barclays added that it would beat City forecasts of profits for 2008 of £5.3 billion, even after a raft of multi-billion-pound writedowns. However, by afternoon trading, the stock was firmly back in negative territory, off 7p or 7% at 91p.

Analysts at Dresdner Kleinwort were among the first to puncture investor hopes, saying: "We are concerned the profit update is insufficient to bring investor concerns down.

"A possible future shortage of capital following further asset deterioration could eventually push the bank into the arms of the Government if existing shareholders are unwilling or unable to provide yet further support and share price weakness persists.

"Ongoing share-price weakness could trigger a self-fulfilling prophecy whereby the decreasing ability to recapitalise the bank and any subsequent negative rating actions could ultimately trigger Government intervention...on terms that could be less favourable and may lead to nationalisation and leave shareholders empty-handed."

Barclays had also said it expected its core tier one ratio to be between 6% and 7% - a measure of the financial well-being of a bank where the lower the figure, the weaker the bank's funding.

Merrill Lynch believes Barclays' underlying key capital ratio to be at 6.2%.

"Given the capital position of European peer-group banks - sector average 7.2% - we think Barclays' relative position looks less comfortable than before this announcement," said Merrill.

"In addition, any further sterling weakness could cause capital ratios to suffer further owing to the lack of hedging in the capital base."

Panmure Gordon said it believes Barclays has "further to go" in writing down the value of its loan book and property exposure.

Reader views (2)

 Add your view

It looks like the country is going bankrupt and Mr Brown cannot blaim Barclays for this.It is a pity Tax payers money is being wasted.

- Stan White, leeds, 20/01/2009 07:19
Report abuse

Every year the Barclays bashers come out. Every year they are proved wrong.
Barclays has stronger risk controls than its peers. Remember, it was the first to tighten the qualifying criteria for a Barclaycard, before the credit crunch took hold and other peers took similar belated action.
Barclays say their 2008 profits will be ahead of last year, so that will be the case. Compare that to their peers!

- Dave Davies, Basingstoke, 19/01/2009 16:36
Report abuse


Add your comment

 

Terms and conditions Make text area bigger You have  characters left.

We welcome your opinions. This is a public forum. Libellous and abusive comments are not allowed. Please read our House Rules.

For information about privacy and cookies please read our Privacy Policy.


 

 

  • Dip in profits puts the skids under targets at Barclays Bob Diamond Barclays could miss its ambitious, medium-term profitability target, chief executive Bob Diamond has admitted, as the bank reported a 3%...
  • Greek bailout snag sends jitters through markets Greek protesters Stock markets wobbled and jittery investors are seeking safe havens, as struggling Greece was denied vital bailout funds by Europe's finance...
  • Chelsea tractor that is just electrifying... Tesla Environmentalists usually revile them for their gas-guzzling status, but this is one SUV that could become the Chelsea tractor of choice for...
  • Luxury brands set for a jubilee bonanza Stacey Cartwright approved London's luxury brands are gearing up for street parties and exhibitions to cash in on the Queen's Diamond Jubilee this June
  • Osborne's bank levy take is likely to miss £2.5bn target Barclays Chancellor George Osborne could miss his target of raising £2.5 billion a year through the UK bank levy after Barclays said it is paying a...
  • New inflation fear as oil spike raises industry costs Mervyn King A sudden spike in crude oil prices pushed up manufacturers' costs in January, giving the Bank of England a fresh inflation warning a day...
  • Tate & Lyle blames Europe as Thames refinery jobs go Tate & Lyle Refinery The American owner of the historic Tate & Lyle sugar refinery on the Thames at Silvertown is planning to shed staff because of new EU...
  • Domain firm on the dot with another £9m An AIM-listed firm that sells website addresses today raised a further £9 million from investors
  • CWC on the slide after message of poor progress in Panama Panama Cable & Wireless Communications saw its shares fall more than 8% after the emerging-markets telecoms firm warned its business in Panama "has...
  • NYSE Euronext profits slip amid slow trading Further evidence of just how sluggish the end of last year was for the financial sector has come with results from the NYSE Euronext stock exchange giant
  •  
    Market Roundup
    FRIDAY UPDATE

    Investec says Carnival is set to weather Concordia storm

    Four weeks to the day that the Costa Concordia ran aground off the coast of Italy, the ship's owner Carnival was sailing up on claims it is on course for a full recovery

    More