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Landslide? David Cameron

Cameron set for election landslide bigger than Blair's

Nicholas Cecil
28.04.09

David Cameron is heading for a landslide election win bigger than Tony Blair's 1997 victory, a new poll suggests.

The latest survey puts the Conservatives on 45 per cent of the vote, 19 points ahead of Labour on 26 per cent, with the Liberal Democrats on 17 per cent.

Labour dropped two points and the Lib-Dems one as the Tories gained five compared with last month.

The findings of the ComRes poll for The Independent suggest Mr Cameron could stroll into No 10 with a 186 Commons majority, seven more than the one Mr Blair won 12 years ago.

Mr Cameron, who has described himself as the "heir to Blair", is drumming into his party the need not to be complacent, as Mr Blair himself once did.

But the latest poll mirrors recent surveys and suggests the Tories may be establishing a lead in the high teens.

The polls since Gordon Brown took over have been particularly volatile. However, if Mr Cameron does clinch a victory on a scale similar to the latest one, it could see a string of Cabinet ministers losing their seats, including Chancellor Alistair Darling and Home Secretary Jacqui Smith as well as many Labour MPs in London and the South-East.

The Prime Minister faced a battle today to salvage authority lost over the MPs' expenses fiasco.

He was forced into a humiliating U-turn yesterday by a threatened Labour revolt which made him ditch plans to replace the second-home allowance for MPs, of up to £24,000 a year, with a daily allowance of around £150.

"I am absolutely bewildered as to how we have gone about this," one MP reportedly told a packed meeting of Labour's Parliamentary Party last night.

Sir Christopher Kelly, chairman of the Committee on Standards in Public Life, meanwhile, signalled he will not be pushed by Mr Brown into speeding up his MPs' expenses inquiry.

"This whole episode has been a U-turn followed by a climbdown, ending in a farce," said Mr Cameron.

In addition, Ms Smith yesterday scrapped plans for a state database for communications records and Justice Secretary Jack Straw has dropped plans for "Titan" super-prisons.

Cabinet ministers are now talking of the possibility of an even more astonishing U-turn of scaling back the identity cards programme or ditching it altogether.

With Labour's economic reputation in tatters in the wake of astronomical borrowing figures announced in the Budget, and the damage caused by the Damian McBride "smeargate" scandal, Tory MPs are confident they are heading into government.

Reader views (65)

 Add your view

Mike, London.

You are a sad representation of many in our country who judge others because of ones schooling and upbringing. It is not Cameron's fault that he was lucky enough to be born into to a family where he can get one of the best educations going. No-one chooses their parents so you can't blame him for his schooling and use it against him. Judge him on who he is not what his family provided for him!

- Hen, Glos, UK

Gordon Brown is a decent man but Labour won't win the next election with him as PM. Time to get a new Labour leader, get back on track and remind the country what a disaster the Tories were and probably will be if they win the next election. The Tories simply have nothing to offer Britain.
Gordon Brown isn't responsible for the world wide recession. Labour have done a decent job for Britain.

- Robert, Philadelphia USA

Judged on what he says, well he says and does little so you cannot judge him, but Heir to Blair for god sake what a silly thing to say.

- Robert, Wales

I suppose they will have to draw lots and the loser will have to attend parliament!

Anway on past form the bigger their majority the bigger their split - Tory governments virtually inverted "Banana Splits" just dont mention Europe!

So "Heir to Blair" well we all know how popular he turned out to be!

- Melvyn Windebank, Canvey Island, Essex

Thomas Hayes, Leeds UK: "Every time I see this mans photo I suspect he wears make up or greasepaint... Landslide r not I am preparing to emigrate in anticipation of a Tory victory."
Oh, if only the fear of men wearing makeup was enough to make all of the looney left flee this country, I'd start wearing it myself!

- Keith Lonsdale, Doncaster

I think labour have not only bankrupted the country but are also bankrupt of ideas to get us out of this mess. Tax and spend seem to be all they know how to do. Fortunately or unfortunately David Cameron appears to be the only real alternative for the country - but I do think he deserves to be judged on what he says and does and no what school he might have gone to.

- Jack, Cambridge

Landslide? Yes - though he will not get the vote of 1 person in Luton and 1 person in Spain, not that they matter much.

- Dave Davies, Basingstoke

Every time I see this mans photo I suspect he wears make up or greasepaint . Such a baby like skin, cant be natural. Landslide r not I am preparing to emigrate in anticipation of a Tory victory.I could never endure another period of Thatcherism in another form.
T H Leeds

- Thomas Hayes, Leeds UK

I am not surprised in the slightest. Gordon brown is the most dishonest, vile and unpersonable Prime Minister we have ever had.

No wonder there are over 28,000 signed up to the Downing Street petition web site asking him to resign.

- Jonathan Cook, Winchfield

What a choice for the voters to have to make.

Continue with Brown and and the rest of the useless self-serving faux left of NuLab which has bankrupted us and turned the country in to an immigration laughing stock or put in the vacuous Cameron and his schoolboy twit chum Osborne.

Will the last person to leave this once great nation please remember to switch off the lights and pay for Jacqui Smith's cable porn bill.

Thank you.

- Undercover Elephant, London, UK

Keith Lonsdale of Doncaster you are spot on, could'nt have put it better myself.

- Mark Burton, St Ives. Cambs

Keith Price, Luton:"UNBELIEVABLE!
Almost 1 in 3 people are still willing to vote Conservatine after what they did to this country under Mrs Thatcher and John Major!"

You are either too young to remember the calamitous Labour governments of the 70s, or have conveniently forgotten their disaterous incumbencies. Thatcher rescued this country from the jaws of the IMF and the complete finacial collapse that had been created by Wilson and Callaghan. It was her taking of tough and unpopular decisions that set us on the road to recovery and laid the foundations for the rock solid economy inherited by Billy Liar in '97.
Your beloved Labour party, like you, has not learned the lessons of the past and, once more, we are teetering on the edge of the abyss.
Val Daniels, Spain (but only for 6 months of the year. LOL!): I suggest that you hurry home soon, the patient, the stinking government over which you so often fawn, is close to death. The time to say your last goodbyes is nigh.

- Keith Lonsdale, Doncaster

What an appalling choice we must make!

In the midst of a one in 50 year economic crisis, we are faced with having to vote in a party led by old Etonians (with their programmed self belief in supremacy to rule relevant in time upto about the year 1900).

Moreover, Cameron and Osbourne are political lightweights and may prove very weak and therefore dangerous leaders of a still unstable economy even though they are being propped up by Hague and Clarke.

There are so many capable graduates from mainstream England, why are they leaving it to anachronistic stereotypes to take the leadership roles? This is in stark contrast to the US which somehow has managed to choose a president who represents the future, not the past, and appears be politically and intellectually heavyweight enough to deal with the crisis.

- Mike, london

Vote for a decent set of people. That's all. W Hague is a good man. Vote for him again.

- Charles Harrison, Kempsford Glos

Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha HaHa Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha lol!

- Angel, london lewisham

I pray nulabour is sent down and disbanded for ever. But it won't it will still have the idiots voting for it.

- Ebin Donk, angus scotland

8.5 million getting benefits of some kind! Do turkeys vote for Christmas? Many are also getting benefits they are not entitled but Labour expects their votes in return. Misfeasance in public office is a crime.

- Mike, London

1979 Labour wrecked the economy, and history has repeated itself. They inherited a strong recovering economy in 97, 2005 they should have gone. Result now economy in a mess for the Torys to sort out - again.

- Sukh, london

@Thomas Hayes
"If the Tories are better than any other party, how come they didn't win the last general election. Lets give the Liberals a chance."

By your own logic, if the liberals are any good, why haven't they won since World War II?

- Kevin T, Beckenham, Kent

The nature of the comments by Tory supporters show exactly what can be expected of a Cameron government.

- Colin, barking essex

Just one question for Mr. David Cameron.
Will he hold a referendum on the EU if his party become the Government,as promised by this so called lame duck of an existing PM

- European, Hong Kong China

It is a well know fact that opposition parties do not win elections - the incumbent loses them.

It what happened in 1997 and it is what will happen in 2010.

David Cameron will start the reforms that Bliar and Brown should have started in 1997. They have squandered our money, our dreams and, ultimately, our support.

They should be run out of town.

- Ian Gilbertson, Newcastle

Watch the Tory supporting contributors wriggle and squeal when the Nasty party takes over. These public school swine and their used car salesmen mates will gorge themselves and the little englanders will pay.
Meet the new Boss, same as the old Boss.

- Kerry, Purley

UNBELIEVABLE!Almost 1 in 3 people are still willing to vote Conservative after what they did to this country under Mrs Thatcher and John Major! - Keith Price

Don't remember them doubling the country debt previously accrued by all previous governments in just two years and leaving a legacy that will take over 20 years to pay off but feel free to enlighten me.

- Daveb, Manchester

The people of the UK are going to be paying for Labour Debt for a decade. The sooner anyone but Brown is elected the better. People need to wakeup to a simple fact. Labour debt and failure to get our economy balanced is a disaster it was when Thatcher inherited it it will be when Cameron inherits it. The poor deluded fools that still don't get it are probably beyond understanding. Labour has failed us by spending on our credit card. Ok Schools are better but its on borrowed money. Hospitals are better but its on borrowed money. Many people have Jobs but Millions are paid on borrowed money. Foods better, Holidays are better et but a hell of a lot is on borrowed money. Brown has already encouraged the Largest borrowing of any nation ever and he's planning for us to borrow another Trillion.
This is plan mad. The world wants it's money back over the next decade and will force us to cut Jobs to pay for it and cut schools, Hospitals food, Holidays Homes etc.
So the whole Labour adventure is like a back to the 60'2s film.
I'm amased anyone wants the job of PM it's going to be hell.

- Bill G, Slough

A nation of sheep will get a government of wolves. They are slavering at the mouth already. If the Tories are better than any other party, how come they didn't win the last general election. Lets give the Liberals a chance. It might be our salvation.
T H Leeds

- Thomas Hayes, Leeds UK

I'm not suprised, I have no faith in any of the main political parties and most people I've spoken to feel the same. The problem seems to be that there's no option for "none of the above", voters are desperate to remove Brown even if it means voting for David "Blair mkII" Cameron, and let's be honest the Liberals don't know their gluteus from their humerus.

- Bob, Cheam

Davis Cameron would be an absolute waste of space. With his Gas guzzling brief case, and his constant u-turning when he finds that another policy falls flat. So, are you all going to play musical chairs again. Vote one bunch of sleazy self servers for another?

- Sylvia Howard, Epping Essex

UNBELIEVABLE!

Almost 1 in 3 people are still willing to vote Conservatine after what they did to this country under Mrs Thatcher and John Major!

- Keith Price, Luton, England

Regardless of his unpleasant nature, his utter incompetence and the general contempt he is held in by 80 per cent or more of the UK's population, it seems Brown will stumble on, clinging desperately to office -but not power, until the very last humiliating moment.

- Neil45, Gloucestershire, England.

"I don't care who you vote for but vote for anyone but these sleasy, slimy pigs called socialists."

You seem remarkably vindictive considering we haven't had a genuinely socialist government since the 1970s - and some would say since the 1940s.

We certainly don't have one now - like all three main parties, NuLabour is broadly centre-right in its political and economic philosophy.

Which is why it's such a dispiriting choice - there's actually very little practical difference between Cameron, Brown and Clegg, so it's just a Titanic deckchair rearrangement as far as I'm concerned. The only reason the Tories are so far ahead is that they're the biggest party that isn't led by Gordon Brown, not because they offer radical change - does anyone seriously believe the credit crunch wouldn't also have happened on their watch? (Just as Labour would have been clobbered by Black Wednesday if they'd won the 1992 election, since their European monetary policies were all but identical).

- Michael, London

I'm amazed that so many London people want to vote for someone who has top of his list stopping councils putting money into pensions by a) sacking as many inefficient employees as possible and b) preventing them having good pension rights. Six months in this will seem a great idea but look 2 years on, five years on and where will the pension fund monies be, and the lovely 30% tax rebates from those funds that Londoners have so glibly taken from the rest of the country as a right for running pension funds and called it "wealth creation"? No pension funds to steal and "invest" ..... no City of London. The North will rise again on lovely low taxes and London will sink beneath the Tory mire, real Tories will be looked after obviously (as usual) while the mugs who elected them will sink into it. Happy days will be here again in the North but this time with the power back with them too, where it never really left, and by North I don't mean Warrington, or Barnsley these are at least 200 miles South of the real North. As the old joke has it when the old Scottish father asked his son how he liked working with the English down in the City, ... "How many times do I have to tell you dad, I'm in management, I don't meet any English people!"

- John, Aberdeen, UK

Don't you believe it. The polls are all over the place at the moment. When those receipts are published in July, and we see who the greediest pigs are, and from past experience it must be the Conservatives, things will look very different. The election will be a much closer run thing in 2010 because more than 1 in 4 people still remember those 18 years of Tory rule and wont want to go back to them. Apart from the past 12 months when recession hit, most people have never had it so good. They were quite happy to go on spending like there was no tomorrow but, when the bubble burst, they didn't want to accept any of the responsibility for the debt they had incurred. Be careful what you wish for, you just might get it.

- Val Daniels, Mijas Costa, Spain

To think Cameron is the odds on favorite to win; is to only think people have no other options than the same old three parties.

Wait and see; you may get a surprise yet.

- Mickyinlondon, london

Whoopi :Cameron :Would be nice if he had any policies :I will be voting for me.as I to want 150 000 expense account,17 weeks holiday and not being responsible when the ... hits the fan.

- David, london

Joe of Swanley, never a true word spoken. I intend never to vote for this three party bunch of robbers from Westminster.I am now in the process of searching for a new party.

- Stephen,London, London, England

Richard of Nottingham; my sentiments exactly!

DC should FORCE through a "no confidence" vote ASAP, and put all of us out of our misery under this shower of thieving misfits.

- Mrs, London UK

Post Mortem- NuLab - The body rotted before it died !

- Wills, Soton

UNBELIEVABLE!

1 in 4 people are still willing to vote Labour after what they have done to this country!

- St, London

Can't the opposition parties force a "no confidence" vote on the government. We need an election now because Brown is too stubborn to go without being pushed. He is the worst prime minister ever - and in my opinion from his support for the Iraq war onwards he has always been dishonest. Good riddance, we need to be rid of Labour now. I don't like the Tories, but will vote for them if they can beat Labour.

- Trevor, London, England

How stupid can people out there can be eh ?
What is the point of continuing with the three party system that has failed,lied,betrayed and robbed us bunch of nobody's since the second world war ?
You need to open your eyes and ears and start using your brains and ask your self, will switching to Tory make our lives any better ?
We people, have made it too easy for those useless MP's in Westminister to continue their lavish lifestyle at our expense. We have got to send a powerful message saying " no we won't vote for any of you, as you only put you party first, then your self, then your family and friends before putting us consituents".
Let's have a revolution by voting in brand new parties that must put the people first before themselves.
That is the only way to kick the MP's and their parties in their crown jewels !
Stop being a sheep and vote differently.

- Joe, Swanley Kent

A landslide - are people really that DUMB!

What's the first things Lord Snooty will do? Tax breaks for millionaires and the return of fox hunting. That'll really get the housing market moving, jobs created and petrol prices down.

- Anthony, Esher, Surrey

I DON´T THINK THIS MAN IS CAPABLE. HE´LL JUST BRING MORE MESS! REMEMBER THE TORIES SELF MADE A CRISIS. IT WAS BAD! ONLY THE UK WAS IN THE DEEP.

- Maria, London

Hi David B believe me as someone on £60.50 a week benefit myself following closure of my business last year due to the way Lab. has totally destroyed the housing market I to want rid of them. I remember how Wilson under Labour almost destroyed the UK in the 70s its just taken them another 10+ years under current rule to finish the job. Not saying Tory any better but in my living memory I cannot remember a single more out of touch whats in it for me than Blair,Brown,Prescott,HH, and the rest of the crooks called Labour Gov. now.

- Mike, London England

Can we bring forward the poll to next month and get it over and done with?

The present government is atrophying daily and will have fully disappeared by the summer. The UK cannot afford to be leaderless and rudderless for another year, which is what Brown is going to allow to happen unless someone forces his hand.

If Cameron and Clegg can force the PM to back down on a trivial matter such as expenses, perhaps they could pressurise him on a more weighty matter i.e. who runs the country.

- Nobby Clark, Perth, Scotland

By all means Labour must go at the earliest opportunity but a gentle word of warning, there is a lot of greed, sleaze, bigotry and incompetence amongst a number of Tory MPs, no point in pretending otherwise. It will be down to David Cameron to go for the best available talent and not cronyism otherwise his government will be no different from what we now have.

- Daniel, London

Andrew of Swindon's comments cannot go unremarked. As a 'left wing' or One Nation Tory, I garee that the Tories deserved to be kicked out in 1997 - I was ashamed of their shenanigans. A more moderate form of Thatcherism would have suited me.

It is asinine to say that the Tory leadership since then is "very frightening reading". First of all, Tony Blair stole the Tories' clothes, so being a credible opporition was difficult. Second, if 2/3 of people thing the William Hague of today is laughable then it is they that need help; William Hague is, without doubt, one of the more normal of senior MPs. Third, while Ian Duncan Smith was rubbish as leader, he has done good work on social issues since. Fouth, Michael Howard has a great brain - he is a QC, after all, and while he is not everyone's cup of tea, he is straight as a die.

This Labour government has done some good things that the old Tories might not have done - I don't deny that. But, overall, they have mismanaged the economy ("not saving for a rainy day") and blown billions on the public sector, a sector now rife with non-jobs and still nowhere near efficient enough. They seem to have cornered the market in political corruptness in this country (low level stuff, mostly, but not our way of doing business) and they seem unbelievably inept.

If you don't like Hague/Duncan Smith/Howard yet find the unelected Brown not creepy, let alone inept, and Balls not a joke, then that's strange indeed.

- Lester May, London

I didn't vote Labour in the last three elections and I've never got myself into debt either. Unfortunately I, like many others, have had to suffer this government and the downturn of this country's finances through no fault of my own. I'm not voting for any of the 3 main parties next time, they are all far too sleazy and won't do enough to turn this country around.

- Sue, Orpington, Kent

Neither party seems to represent me. To see who you'd really like at the NEXT election (E-'so-called'-P), Google: 'euprofiler', which seems legit.

- Steve, London, England

Whatever argument, we need change at the top, thats for sure

- Mario Kempe, london

Can't wait to say goodbye to the muppet show ...

Except the muppets weren't nasty. This lot are .....

- Sarit, Hong Kong

well said david braddock... just who would continue to vote labour ? who wakes up happy knowing an unelected idiot is governing ( use the term lightly) us ?

- Joanna, london

Won't revenge be sweet when we witness the complete humiliation of Brown, Smith, Balls, McNulty, Cooper, Jowell, Blunkett - and all the other thieving creeps whose obscene expense claims we have been paying for over the last twelve years.

- R.F., Yorks, UK

George, I voted Labour in 1997 and it's a decision that I'm still proud of today. Not because of what they have become but because it was essential for this country to stem the continuation of Thatcherist governance. The succession of Conservative leadership makes very frightening reading after that;
Hague (two thirds of voters considered him laughable)
Smith (ousted on a vote of no confidence by his own party as unelectable)
Howard ("something of the night" being the most printable criticism of him)

I doubt the nation would have prospered so well under them either socially or economically. It's the people who re-elected Labour in 2005 that should be ashamed of themselves.

I won't be voting Conservative in this election either. The local candidate is a stagnant cronyist whose regulary local commentary is borderline bigotry. Not a man fit to represent anyone in parliament.

- Andrew, Swindon, UK

Is it David?

Think of the people who have benefited most from Labour; the workshy and Johnny Foreigner. They probably account for at least that.

- Mark, South-East London

Yes, the current administration is utterly useless but what are the Tories' policies? People seem keen to vote for them because they're not Labour but does have anyone any idea what they'll do when they get in?

- Paul M, Canary Wharf, London

I am not surprised by this, except that the Tories are almost as bad as Labour over expenses - witness Dispatches and Francis Maude's 3 luxury homes, at least one paid for by us.
However they are fundamentally more competent than Labour and especially Brown, who has set new records for stupidity, incompetence, and misleading the public again and again. As for his ghastly personality, well noone can change that - only throw him out and consign him to the history books, as a very ugly footnote.

- Mikey, Guildford

Why can't I find anyone who admitted voting Labour in 1997? It was obvious that Blair/Brown would spend more than we could afford and it would all end in tears. Again.

- George, London

More of the same,Lobour,Tory,Labour.Tory.Same old tired game,bores me silly.Another Blair in Tory clothing,i wouldn't cross the road for any of them.

- Kev, London-UK

Good. I would like to see Labour beaten so badly at the next election that they collapse and finish as a political party completely. They are incompetent at every level. Not only the government, but also Labour councils.

- Matt, Hackney, London UK

Who on earth can possibly vote for the worst government in the history of this country, the worst PM ever and the discriminatory way they have polarised our society. Who can vote for a party that is vindictive, nasty and snout troughingly greedy and who plays party politics with our country's future. They have bankrupted Britain and mortgaged our children's futures, they have allowed millions of unwanted foreigners into this overcrowded island in an attempt to socially engineer Britain into some frankenstein monster they call multiculturalism. They are evil, they have done evil and should be roundly condemned for their abuse of the British people. I don't care who you vote for but vote for anyone but these sleasy, slimy pigs called socialists. To the 26% who still support them - you must be very grateful immigrants, benefit scroungers, stupid or just want Britain destroyed.

- Richard K, Nottingham

I agree with you David it just shows how many are still on the Labour Gravy train intent on milking us for as long as they can.
Only people who still support this muppet Gov. and Brown must only be doing so as they have a financial interest, anyone with any decency or care about UK would and will kick them out at next election or ideally long before.

- Mike, London England

Any confidence that they knew what they were doing, that they knew something we didn't know has left me. Their budget was pathetic. It had Brown's fingerprints all over it. It was all about the election and not about the country. When is it going to get into his thick skull that he has lost the next election and he needs to concentrate on what's best for Britain, not him.

- Alex C, London

BRING IT ON!

- Ted, London

The only surprise is that there are still 26% of people prepared to vote for this current set of liars, wasters and losers - I hadn't realised there were that many public sector workers and people on benefits to be honest.

- David Braddock, Manchester


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